6.7 Gamma-Poisson MCMC

# STEP 1: DEFINE the model
gp_model <- "
  data {
    int<lower = 0> Y[2];
  }
  parameters {
    real<lower = 0> lambda;
  }
  model {
    Y ~ poisson(lambda);
    lambda ~ gamma(3, 1);
  }
"

# STEP 2: SIMULATE the posterior
gp_sim <- rstan::stan(model_code = gp_model, data = list(Y = c(2,8)), 
               chains = 4, iter = 5000*2, seed = 84735)
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# Trace plots of the 4 Markov chains
mcmc_trace(gp_sim, pars = "lambda", size = 0.1)

# Histogram of the Markov chain values
mcmc_hist(gp_sim, pars = "lambda") + 
  yaxis_text(TRUE) + 
  ylab("count")
## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.

# Density plot of the Markov chain values
mcmc_dens(gp_sim, pars = "lambda") + 
  yaxis_text(TRUE) + 
  ylab("density")